Risk Management Video Analysis Summary Watch and read the power points and write two pages summarizingno need for sources just summarize the videoHere is t
Risk Management Video Analysis Summary Watch and read the power points and write two pages summarizingno need for sources just summarize the videoHere is the link for the video:https://www.freeconferencecall.com/wall/recorded_a… RISK MANAGEMENT
Chapter 7
Copyright ©2016 Pearson Education, Inc.
CHAPTER 7
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
After completing this chapter, you should be able to:
1. Define project risk.
2. Recognize four key stages in project risk management
and the steps necessary to manage risk.
3. Understand five primary causes of project risk and four
major approaches to risk identification.
4. Recognize four primary risk mitigation strategies.
5. Explain the Project Risk Analysis and Management
(PRAM) process.
Copyright ©2016 Pearson Education, Inc.
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PMBOK CORE CONCEPTS
Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBoK) covered
in this chapter includes:
1. Plan Risk Management (PMBoK 11.1)
2. Identify Risks (PMBoK 11.2)
3. Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis (PMBoK 11.3)
4. Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis (PMBoK 11.4)
5. Plan Risk Responses (PMBoK 11.5)
6. Control Risks (PMBoK 11.6)
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QUESTIONS TO CONSIDER IN RISK
MANAGEMENT
? What is likely to happen (the probability and
impact)?
? What can be done to minimize the probability or
impact of these events?
? What cues will signal the need for such action
(i.e., what clues should I actively look for)?
? What are the likely outcomes of these problems
and my anticipated reaction?
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RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk management the art and science of identifying,
analyzing, and responding to risk factors throughout the
life of a project and in the best interest of its objectives.
Project risk an uncertain event or condition that, if it
occurs, has a positive or negative effect on one or more
project objectives such as scope, schedule, cost, or
quality.
Risk = (Probability of Event) * (Consequences of Event)
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RISK VERSUS AMOUNT AT STAKE:
CHALLENGE IN RISK MANAGEMENT
(FIGURE 7.2)
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FOUR STAGES OF RISK MANAGEMENT
1. Risk identification
2.
Analysis of probability and consequences
3. Risk mitigation strategies
4.
Control and documentation
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RISK CLUSTERS
?Financial
? Execution
? Contractual or legal
risk
?Technical
?Commercial
Common Types of Risks
Absenteeism
Resignation
Staff pulled away
Time overruns
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Skills unavailable
Ineffective training
Specs incomplete
Change orders
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RISK FACTOR IDENTIFICATION
?Brainstorming meetings
?Expert opinion
?Past history
?Multiple (or team based) assessments
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RISK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE (RBS)
(FIGURE 7.4)
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RISK IMPACT MATRIX
(FIGURE 7.5)
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PROJECT RISK SCORING
1.
Use project teams consensus to determine the score for each
Probability of Failure category: Maturity (Pm), Complexity
(Pc), and Dependency (Pd).
2.
Calculate overall probability.
Pm + Pc + Pd
Pf =
3
3.
Use project teams consensus to determine the score for each
Consequence of Failure category: Cost (Cc), Schedule (Cs),
Reliability (Cr), and Performance (Cp).
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PROJECT RISK SCORING
4. Calculate Cf by adding the four categories and dividing by 4:
Cf =
Cc + Cs + Cr + C p
4
5. Calculate Overall Risk factor for the project by using the
formula:
RF = Pf + C f ? ( Pf )(C f )
Rule of Thumb:
Low Risk
RF < 0.30
Medium Risk
RF = 0.30 to 0.70
High Risk
RF > 0.70
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RISK MITIGATION STRATEGIES
? Accept
? Minimize
? Share
? Transfer
? Contingency Reserves
? Task contingency
? Managerial contingency
? Insurance
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? Other Mitigation
Strategies
? Mentoring
? Cross training
? Control and
Documentation
? Change management
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CONTROL & DOCUMENTATION
Helps managers classify and codify risks, responses, and
outcomes
Change management report system answers:
? What?
? Who?
? When?
? Why?
? How?
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PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS &
MANAGEMENT (PRAM)
PRAM presents a generic methodology that can be applied to
multiple project environments, and encompasses the key
components of project risk management.
Key Features of PRAM
? Risk management follows a life cycle.
? Risk management strategy changes over the
project life cycle.
? Synthesized, coherent approach
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NINE PHASES OF
RISK ASSESSMENT
1. Define
2. Focus
3. Identify
4. Structure
5. Clarify ownership of risks
6. Estimate
7. Evaluate
8. Plan
9. Manage
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SUMMARY
1. Define project risk.
2. Recognize four key stages in project risk
management and the steps necessary to
manage risk.
3. Understand five primary causes of project risk
and four major approaches to risk identification.
4. Recognize four primary risk mitigation
strategies.
5. Explain the Project Risk Analysis and
Management (PRAM) process.
Copyright ©2016 Pearson Education, Inc.
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