Reflection on Article

For this assignment, read 2 of the following four articles (all articles can be found attached):

Bafumi, Joseph, Robert Erikson, an Christoper Wlezien. Forecasting the 2018 Midterm Election using National Polls and District Information

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Lewis-Beck, Michael and Charles Tien House Forecasts: Structure-X Models For 2018

Abramowtiz, Alan Will Democrats Catch a Wave? The Generic Ballot Model and the 2018 US House Elections

Campbell, James The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2018 Midterm Congressional Elections

Klarner, Carl. 2018 State Legislative Election Forecast

In 2 pages, double spaced, times new roman size 12, 1 inch margins, answer the following questions

Thinking about the two different forecasting models you read, briefly (one paragraph or less) explain what each forecasting model is based on. What do they predict for the midterms? Which model do you find most convincing, and why? Make sure that it is clear that you have read and understand the articles you are reading.


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